Archive for the ‘Research’ Category

GGP Shenanigans: How much value do you place on the credibility of management?

Monday, August 11th, 2008

This is a continuation of GGP and the type of investigative analysis you will not get from your brokerage house, basically an update to include the latest earnings information. And yes, this is still the type of stuff you will not get from your local brokerage house... [Note: this document ...

Citi and Wachovia downgrade GGP, after a 50% drop in price

Thursday, July 31st, 2008

Citi and Wachovia downgrade GGP after it gets cut in half. Great job fellas! Unfortunately, I couldn't afford to be a client of yours. I just don't have the money to spare. For those new to the site, I started my bear positions in GGP in November of last year ...

When the best of the best start with the shenanigans, what does that mean for the rest…

Thursday, July 31st, 2008

My team has finished the Amex analysis, and it is interesting. Amex is considered the creme de la creme of credit card lenders, with a premium upscale consumer and business clientele that generally does not carry balances on their cards. Well, don't believe the hype. A little more on this ...

The next step in my investment thesis

Thursday, July 31st, 2008

BoomBustBlogger Goatmug has literally read my mind in a very recent comment, thus I have taken the liberty to post his comment as an official blog post. This is what I have had my team working on for the past few weeks. I would have had some tangible results earlier, ...

Reggie Middleton on Risk, Reward and Reputations on the Street: the Goldman Sachs Forensic Analysis

Friday, July 25th, 2008

Here is my detailed opinion on Goldman Sachs. Be sure to review my precursor to this report: Goldman Sachs Snapshot: Risk vs. Reward vs. Reputations on the Street. Anybody who is interested in how I think should read this report carefully. I believed GS to be significantly overvalued to begin ...

Are Energy Prices Curtailing Growth?

Friday, July 25th, 2008

I thought this piece would be timely since the media has been hinting that that the $17 drop in oil is responsible for a fundamental rally in stocks. I'd like to remind my readers that I looked into going long oil in the middle of last year - at $65! ...

Even the most bearish fail to see the risk that stalks the banking world

Tuesday, July 1st, 2008

Nouriel Roubini, global macro Uber-Bear, has posted an interesting commentary on his blog - "The delusional complacency that the “worst is behind us” is rapidly melting away…and the risk of another run against systemically important broker dealers" which I am excerpting below with my comments in red: The deleveraging process for ...

GE: the Uberbank???

Monday, June 16th, 2008

I'm taking a closer look at GE, the industrial-cum-uberbank bellwether of the Fortune 500. See the following draft overview, to be followed up by a full forensic analysis. I apologize; I've had this on my desk for a while and didn't remember to post it until a sell-side analyst downgraded ...